Signal · Pricing
Price ceiling
The value band where your quote win-rate falls off — data-driven read of how high you can quote before acceptance drops.
Pricing
What the signal measures
The value band where your quote win-rate falls off — data-driven read of how high you can quote before acceptance drops.
Why it matters
Almost every service business under-quotes without realising it, because their sample of "quotes at £X" is tiny and their memory of the ones that lost is fuzzy. Compass buckets your quotes by value band and computes the win-rate per band, so you can see the actual point at which acceptance starts to drop. That is your data-driven price ceiling — often several thousand pounds higher than you would have guessed.
How to act on it
Two moves: (a) on your next few new-client quotes, price at the top of your validated win-rate band rather than defaulting to your usual number; (b) for existing clients on legacy rates well below the ceiling, plan a rate review — the price-inelastic-clients signal identifies the ones most likely to absorb it.
Worked example — fixture consultancy
The fixture carries a spread of quotes from £5k to £30k. Win-rate holds at 80%+ up to roughly £15k, then falls off — Compass reports the £15k band as your ceiling. Next time a scoped project comes in around that number, you know you have room to quote confidently rather than defensively.
Deterministic maths, AI writes the words.
Every number in this signal is computed by unit-tested TypeScript in
src/signals/priceCeiling.ts.
The AI drafts only the wording of the suggested action, never a figure.